Restaurant Success Rate: What the Numbers Reveal (and How to Beat the Odds)

Abhijit Panda
September 11, 2025

Walk into any operator meetup and you’ll hear the same gloomy legend: “Nine out of ten restaurants fail in the first year.” But the truth about the restaurant success rate is far less grim. In fact,  

  • According to the latest survey, 14 to 30% percent of restaurants fail in the first year.  
  • 51% of businesses survive if they can sustain themselves for more than five years.  

These numbers reveal that the restaurant success rate is not about luck—it’s about preparation. In a highly competitive industry, owners who adopt strategic approaches to location, menu design, customer experience, and technology are far more likely to outperform their peers. Even established chains like Denny’s, Noodles & Company, and TGI Fridays have been forced to downsize locations in recent years to maintain profitability, highlighting how critical it is to stay agile and data-driven.

Popular Restaurant Chains Closed Down  

  1. Denny’s - Denny’s closed around 70 low-performing restaurant outlets in 2025 to improve its cash flow. They had previously closed 88 restaurants in 2024.
  1. Noodles & Company - The Colorado-based establishment announced the shutdown of 32 locations in 2025 due to a net loss despite sales growth.
  1. TGI Fridays - TGI Fridays announced the closure of 36 outlets in under-performing locations across the US and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in late 2024.  

Let’s discuss the reasons restaurants fail and how they can ensure a high success rate.  

Why Restaurants Struggle

Running a restaurant is more than serving great food—it’s about balancing dozens of moving parts, from finances and staffing to marketing and guest experience. Even well-run establishments can stumble if critical foundations aren’t in place.

Below are the most common reasons restaurants struggle—and what operators can do differently to improve their restaurant success rate.

Wrong Location Choices

According to Hilton, only 1 in 5 people travel specifically to seek out new restaurants. Selecting the right location is essential to ensure a high restaurant success rate. Any location that causes low sales, high operational costs, or customer dissatisfaction can be considered the wrong choice. You can look for parameters like,  

  • High rental costs
  • Low footfall
  • Parking issues
  • Weather conditions
  • Unsafe neighborhood

Selecting the right location can boost sales instantly. On the other hand, even a well-run restaurant with great food can fail if customers simply can’t or won’t get to it.  

Menu-Market Incompatibility

The market you are catering to must be a vital factor in how you design the menu. Even great food in the wrong market can lead to low sales. For instance, if you open a fine-dining French-based outlet in a suburban area with a budget-conscious population, it can lead to a low restaurant success rate. Therefore, you must keep the local communities' preferences and dining habits in mind before designing the menu.  

Weak Marketing Strategies

In the age of social media, no industry can rule out the importance of a good marketing function. Marketing today is not just about awareness; it’s about storytelling and creating emotional connections. Hence, restaurants that neglect it can find themselves with low market visibility or a bad brand image.    

Poor Inventory Management

Improper management of inventory can lead to significant wastage, spoilage, or overstocking, thereby increasing COGS. According to Oracle, average COGS should be 30% or less, with 30% for food sales, 15% or less for nonalcoholic beverages, and a cost range of between 18% and 40% for liquor. On the other hand, a lack of real-time visibility into inventory can cause understocking, which causes customer dissatisfaction.  

Inappropriate Menu Pricing  

Pricing can make or break a restaurant. Overpriced menus can cause low footfall, while underpriced ones can yield low profits. Many owners fail to strike the right balance between affordability and profitability, leading to financial instability.  

Fragmented Tech Stack

A restaurant deploys multiple tools to accomplish operations, such as ordering, payroll, customer management, and inventory management. If these belong to different vendors, there can be integration and compatibility issues, leading to low operational efficiency. For instance, if the server takes the order and it reaches the kitchen staff late, the guest will have to wait longer.    

Inconsistent Food Quality  

Food quality is the ultimate factor in a restaurant's success. However, some restaurants fail to maintain a consistent food quality and portion sizes. This is even more common for enterprise restaurant chains. Lack of consistent food quality can be caused by various factors, including multiple suppliers, incompetent staff, or standardized recipes. Serving dishes with different tastes or portions can not only cause low customer retention but also a bad reputation.  

Unsatisfactory Customer Service

Some restaurants serve the best cuisine but fail to offer satisfactory customer service. Slow response times, inattentive staff, or unwelcoming attitudes can ruin the dining experience. This leads to lower footfall, ultimately hampering the restaurant's success rate. Customers nowadays expect a more personalized experience from the restaurants. If restaurants fail to do so, it can cause bad online reviews.  

How Can Restaurants Increase Their Success Rate

Ensure Customer Retention

Loyal customers are essential to ensure a high restaurant success rate. However, the hospitality industry has one of the lowest customer retention rates of only 55%. To ensure retention, here are certain strategies you can adopt-

  • Offer personalized experiences to customers through AI-based restaurant management solutions.
  • Training staff regularly in customer service protocols
  • Deploying loyalty programs integrated with restaurant POS, ordering apps, and marketing engines.    

Small gestures, like birthday emails, can go a long way in increasing customer retention.  

Strategize the Right Marketing Approach  

To ensure constant success in the market, you must take a hyper-focused approach to marketing. You can do so by  

  • Establishing a clear and unique brand
  • Conducting thorough research on competitors, demographics, regulations, suppliers, etc.  
  • Taking an omni-channel approach by targeting different platforms like social media, email, SMS, and more.
  • Optimize your website for the best ordering and payment experience.
  • Introduce personalized loyalty programs and promotions.
  • Measure the performance of marketing campaigns through relevant KPIs
  • Test and reiterate marketing strategies for better results

Smart marketing builds recognition, trust, and a strong emotional connection with diners, facilitating profitability.  

Plan for Staff Retention  

The restaurant industry has a high turnover rate of 73%, which leads to high training and onboarding costs. Therefore, for a restaurant to succeed, it is imperative to retain staff. You can start by creating a positive work culture. Conduct regular training for employees so they do not feel stagnant. Implement an incentive program to encourage them and boost morale. Staff who feel respected and supported are more motivated to deliver great service and represent the brand well.  

Focus on Financial Planning and Cost Control

Optimizing expenses and financial management is vital to ensure long-term sustainability for any restaurant. Most restaurants fail not because of low profits but their inability to monitor and manage expenses. Efficient cost control helps you stand your ground even during low-sales periods and save revenue for emergencies and unanticipated expenses. Restaurants can opt for financial consultation services or hire an expert in-house team to handle their finances.    

Deploy an Integrated Restaurant Management Solution

An integrated restaurant management solution offers all the tools (hardware and software) required for the restaurant to operate. Opting for a complete restaurant management platform like NOVA leads to seamless integration of all FoH and BoH tools.  

This enables an uninterrupted data flow between all tools, which gives you key insights to make data-driven decisions.    

Technology as a Success Multiplier

In today’s competitive restaurant industry, technology isn’t just a tool—it’s a survival multiplier. Data shows that restaurants using modern POS and integrated management platforms see up to 20–30% higher profit margins compared to those running on fragmented systems (National Restaurant Association, 2024).

Tech-driven operators gain three key advantages:

  1. Smarter Forecasting & Planning – AI-powered platforms help predict demand, optimize labor scheduling, and reduce over-ordering. Restaurants using predictive analytics report a 15% reduction in food waste and more consistent margins.
  1. Streamlined Operations – Instead of juggling multiple disconnected systems for POS, payroll, inventory, and marketing, integrated platforms create a single source of truth. This reduces errors, speeds up service, and ensures better staff coordination.
  1. Personalized Guest Experiences – Nearly half of diners (49%) say they’re more likely to become repeat customers after a personalized experience. With the right technology, restaurants can harness guest data to build loyalty, increase repeat visits, and ultimately drive higher check sizes.

The bottom line? Restaurants that leverage integrated, AI-powered systems not only survive longer but also scale smarter. As Deloitte highlights, “restaurants that deploy AI across operations—from demand forecasting to personalization—see measurable improvements in revenue growth, cost efficiency, and guest satisfaction.”

NOVA: Boosting Your Restaurant’s Success Rate

NOVA is an all-in-one restaurant management solution that not only boosts sales but also ensures long-term success. The AI-native platform offers deep insights to identify operational bottlenecks, increase profits, enhance staff efficiency, and reduce costs. Let’s see what NOVA can do for you.  

Enhance Marketing

Streamline your marketing process with AI-powered marketing. NOVA automates your marketing campaigns by analyzing customer preferences, dining behavior, most-sold items, and more. Launch email campaigns across channels in minutes with automatic message creation.    

Deliver Memorable Guest Experiences

Today’s diners expect more than good food—they want fast, seamless, and personalized experiences. NOVA makes this possible with:

  • Tableside Ordering & Payments: Reduce wait times and boost table turns with handheld POS devices.
  • Integrated Loyalty Programs: Automatically recognize guests, apply rewards, and personalize offers.
  • Frictionless Checkout: From mobile pay to contactless tipping, make every interaction smooth and guest-friendly.

The result: faster service, happier guests, and repeat business that drives a higher restaurant success rate.

Make Data-Driven Decisions

NOVA is a complete restaurant management solution, offering comprehensive FoH and BoH features and tools, including  POS, CRM, and kitchen display systems, payment platforms, loyalty programs, shift management, and payroll. This enables our AI-native platform to offer actionable insights for cost saving, sales growth, menu management, and more.  

Increase Customer Retention

Ensure customer retention with NOVA’s in-built loyalty programs. Ensure real-time visibility of loyalty points for the customer. The loyalty program is integrated with every ordering platform and marketing function, so repeat customers get their rewards at the right time.    

Optimize Workforce Management

Rising labor costs can hamper your restaurant’s success rate. NOVA’s workforce scheduling feature enables you to manage shifts, track employee time, and make the payroll process hassle-free.    

Financial Control & Cost Optimization

Behind the scenes, NOVA helps operators stay financially resilient. Real-time inventory tracking reduces waste, while AI-powered insights keep food costs in check. With all POS, payroll, scheduling, and kitchen data unified, restaurant owners can make smarter, data-driven decisions on staffing, menu pricing, and resource allocation.

Scalability for Multi-Location Growth

Success isn’t just about running one outlet well—it’s about replicating that success consistently. NOVA supports growth with:

  • Multi-location Management for menus, pricing, and promotions.
  • Enterprise Reporting that tracks sales, labor costs, and guest insights across all outlets.

Whether you’re managing two locations or two hundred, NOVA ensures consistency and visibility at every scale.

Built-In Operational Resilience

Disruptions are inevitable, but downtime doesn’t have to be. NOVA keeps operations running with:

  • Offline Mode to continue taking orders and payments during outages.
  • Real-Time Alerts for low stock, delayed orders, or unusual sales patterns.

This resilience builds trust and keeps guests happy—even in challenging moments.

Conclusion

Restaurants that do not focus on critical considerations like location, menu, customer retention, and food quality fail to make it in the highly competitive restaurant industry. They need a restaurant management solution like NOVA that can enhance profits, operational efficiency, menu management, and customer satisfaction while reducing costs and workforce efforts.  

Are you looking to boost the chances of your restaurant's success? Schedule a Free Demo Now.